What's Happening in our Local Markets?




Tom Hart


Empire Realty Associates

Broker Associate

Office: (925)217-5000
Ext: 5060

Direct:(925) 217-506
0

web: www.tomhart.com

email: tom@tomhart.com

DRE# 00991991


 

 


January, 2012

Turnaround year?
Exceedingly low interest rates, very low prices, and improving market conditions may be game changers

Could this be THE turnaround year in local real estate? Another positive real estate forecast has just been released. Clear Capital, a California real estate valuations company, issued the following nationwide forecast on January 9, 2012: "While year-over-year prices notched down in 2011, prices are expected to see a slight uptick in 2012, the first time in positive territory since 2006."

 

Looking Back Locally

Dec. 2010 and Dec. 2011
Under Contract For Sale Sold Properties Median
Sold price
 
Alamo +71% -16% -67% -13%
Blackhawk +50% -33% +150% -7%
Clayton +70% -30% +0% +20%
Concord +15% -28% -13% -12%
Danville +153% -3% +109% -17%
Dublin -40% -41% -9% -18%
Lafayette +0% -23% +12% +17%
Livermore +35% -29% +4% -5%
Martinez +21% -34% -15% +0%
Moraga -37% -37% -75% -22%
Orinda -36% -26% -46% +17%
P. Hill +53% -39% +7% -5%
Pleasanton +24% -14% -12% -8%
San Ramon -23% -14% -12% -8%
W. Creek +65% -11% +19% -19%
Single-family Detached Homes


Trends? In the chart above, prices were UP in 3 communities in December. Note the significant increase in Under Contract properties above compared with last December in 10 of the 15 surveyed communities. Prices seem to be luring buyers to come off the fence. December is usually a very slow month because of the holidays.

Distressed Property Sales

DataQuick, a real estate information service, reported in December that, "Bay Area home sales were ahead of 2010 for the fifth month in a row in November, despite limited mortgage availability and sluggish high-end sales. The median sale price fell again on a year-over-year basis, partly because of the slowdown in sales above the mid point for prices." They also reported on distress sales in the Bay Area: "Last month [Nov.] distressed property sales – the combination of foreclosure resales and short sales – made up 47.8 percent of the resale market. That was up from 45.2 percent in October and 46.7 percent a year ago...Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity remains high by historical standards but below peak levels reached over the last three years. Financing with multiple mortgages is low, down payment sizes are stable, DataQuick reported." Looking for a bargain? It's not too late!

____

More recent real estate info
from the California Association of Realtors®

BEYOND THE HEADLINES
including

°Five issues for housing in 2012
°Increase in short sales gives market a little breathing room
°Low mortgage rates likely to continue through 2012
°What you should know
°And more



Local Community Snapshot:

Sales Data for 2011
1/1/11 to 12/31/11

As you can see, real estate is local. There are significant differences between
the various local communities and the price ranges within the communities.

All figures are for single-family, detached homes and reflect year to date calculations.
Some sales prices were not reported or were reported as $0.
Those are not included.
There may be some inaccuracies.

Alamo
Average Closed Sales Price: $1,215,432
Median Closed Sales Price: $1,092,892
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 63
Total Closed Sales YTD: 154
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 63
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 91

 

Blackhawk
Average Closed Sales Price: $1,129,567
Median Closed Sales Price: $1,022,300
Average Closed Sales Days on Market:78
Total Closed Sales YTD: 93
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M:42
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 51

 

Danville
Average Closed Sales Price: $864,400
Median Closed Sales Price: $816,250
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 46
Total Closed Sales YTD: 538
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 418
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 120



San Ramon
Average Closed Sales Price: $728,099
Median Closed Sales Price: $710,000
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 44
Total Closed Sales YTD: 662
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 602
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 60

 

Walnut Creek
Average Closed Sales Price: $674,693
Median Closed Sales Price: $620,500
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 47
Total Closed Sales YTD: 500
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 462
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 38


Pleasanton
Average Closed Sales Price: $842,799
Median Closed Sales Price: $720,000
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 48
Total Closed Sales YTD: 599
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 463
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 136


Dublin
Average Closed Sales Price: $616,478
Median Closed Sales Price: $604,500
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 37
Total Closed Sales YTD: 352
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 343
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 9

 

Livermore
Average Closed Sales Price: $486,386
Median Closed Sales Price: $423,250
Average Closed Sales Days on Market: 46
Total Closed Sales YTD: 896
Number YTD Closed Sales Under $1M: 871
Number YTD Closed Sales Over $1M: 25

 


(Sales History Archive: Compare this year with recent past)
Sold prices since 2003, market price peaks, numbers of closed sales, days on the market

Data above copyright© Contra Costa Association of Realtors®, 2012. Information is thought to be accurate but is not guaranteed and is intended only as a general market snapshot. MLS data is fluid and changes daily as new data is input. MLS data sometimes has reporting errors and there may be some inaccuracies in calculations both from MLS and in preparing this report. Sales NOT reported to our Multiple Listing Service are not included. The accuracy of information on any linked web sites has not been verified and is not guaranteed. This market compilation copyright© www.ourremarket.com, 2011. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.